Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 0.000069 0.000080 0.000091 0.000104 0.000118 0.000132 0.000149
2024-12-15 0.000056 0.000070 0.000086 0.000104 0.000125 0.000148 0.000176
2024-12-22 0.000047 0.000062 0.000080 0.000103 0.000129 0.000159 0.000196
2024-12-29 0.000039 0.000056 0.000076 0.000102 0.000133 0.000169 0.000214
2025-01-05 0.000034 0.000051 0.000072 0.000101 0.000136 0.000178 0.000231
2025-01-12 0.000029 0.000046 0.000068 0.000098 0.000136 0.000183 0.000243
2025-01-19 0.000024 0.000040 0.000063 0.000094 0.000135 0.000186 0.000252
2025-01-26 0.000020 0.000036 0.000059 0.000091 0.000135 0.000190 0.000262
2025-02-02 0.000018 0.000035 0.000059 0.000094 0.000141 0.000202 0.000282
2025-02-09 0.000016 0.000033 0.000057 0.000093 0.000144 0.000209 0.000296
2025-02-16 0.000016 0.000033 0.000059 0.000098 0.000153 0.000225 0.000323
2025-02-23 0.000014 0.000031 0.000057 0.000097 0.000155 0.000231 0.000336
2025-03-02 0.000012 0.000028 0.000054 0.000096 0.000156 0.000238 0.000351
2025-03-09 0.000010 0.000026 0.000052 0.000096 0.000160 0.000247 0.000370
2025-03-16 0.000008 0.000023 0.000050 0.000094 0.000161 0.000254 0.000386
2025-03-23 0.000007 0.000021 0.000048 0.000093 0.000163 0.000261 0.000402
2025-03-30 0.000006 0.000020 0.000046 0.000092 0.000165 0.000268 0.000418
2025-04-06 0.000005 0.000017 0.000043 0.000090 0.000164 0.000272 0.000429
2025-04-13 0.000004 0.000015 0.000040 0.000086 0.000162 0.000272 0.000436
2025-04-20 0.000003 0.000013 0.000037 0.000083 0.000161 0.000275 0.000446
2025-04-27 0.000003 0.000013 0.000037 0.000086 0.000167 0.000288 0.000471
2025-05-04 0.000002 0.000012 0.000036 0.000085 0.000169 0.000296 0.000488
2025-05-11 0.000002 0.000012 0.000038 0.000090 0.000180 0.000315 0.000522